Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.094615 0.112233 0.131967 0.155672 0.183337 0.214566 0.252452
2025-02-09 0.067071 0.089594 0.117687 0.155143 0.203600 0.263979 0.344707
2025-02-16 0.052009 0.076343 0.109380 0.157160 0.224072 0.313957 0.443265
2025-02-23 0.043339 0.068817 0.105924 0.163292 0.248983 0.371282 0.557825
2025-03-02 0.034495 0.058810 0.096532 0.158431 0.256322 0.403672 0.640205
2025-03-09 0.028958 0.052613 0.091436 0.158588 0.270248 0.446309 0.741738
2025-03-16 0.024221 0.046708 0.085596 0.156225 0.279209 0.481532 0.834991
2025-03-23 0.021415 0.043591 0.083804 0.160114 0.298583 0.535138 0.963410
2025-03-30 0.018392 0.039465 0.079473 0.158680 0.308207 0.573026 1.069016
2025-04-06 0.015627 0.035295 0.074334 0.154842 0.312697 0.602040 1.161712
2025-04-13 0.013197 0.031335 0.068929 0.149577 0.313584 0.624266 1.243986
2025-04-20 0.011922 0.029618 0.067751 0.152500 0.330550 0.677843 1.389711
2025-04-27 0.010681 0.027783 0.066122 0.154427 0.346122 0.731139 1.542075
2025-05-04 0.009487 0.025835 0.063948 0.154886 0.358757 0.780147 1.691567
2025-05-11 0.008571 0.024390 0.062671 0.157125 0.375420 0.838986 1.866926
2025-05-18 0.008002 0.023719 0.063096 0.163308 0.401493 0.919984 2.096220
2025-05-25 0.006901 0.021398 0.059129 0.158458 0.401866 0.946176 2.211832
2025-06-01 0.006196 0.020030 0.057325 0.158618 0.413878 0.998896 2.390118
2025-06-08 0.005469 0.018444 0.054687 0.156256 0.419485 1.037747 2.541281
2025-06-15 0.005080 0.017797 0.054466 0.160145 0.440942 1.114965 2.786857
2025-06-22 0.004538 0.016552 0.052377 0.158711 0.448732 1.160911 2.964283
2025-06-29 0.003983 0.015141 0.049573 0.154872 0.449773 1.190744 3.106398
2025-07-06 0.003457 0.013704 0.046438 0.149606 0.446315 1.209138 3.222583